UPDATE: 3:15 PM
The dollar decline seems to have run out of steam. DX has run into support from the fan line we've been watching (red dashed line), and now has the opportunity to follow a rising TL back towards the falling wedge boundary.
UPDATE: 2:10 PM
Between the rising wedge, multiple bearish harmonics patterns, fibonacci target, horizontal resistance, an important trend line, the round number and significant divergence...
...that should just about do it for the upside.
I'm taking bets on how much longer CME will wait before raising gold margin requirements again.
UPDATE: 9:40 AM
This looks like an overshoot on the Google/Motorola euphoria this morning. We're up past the harmonics targets and there's obvious price divergence vs RSI and MACD.
Lowes' drop in year over year sales and a continued moribund NAHB report have much more to say about the "recovery" than Google's acquisition.
I expect a reversal very soon.
ORIGINAL POST: 9:00 AM
An ugly Empire State Mfg Survey... If there's a ray of hope in here, I don't see it. Business conditions, orders, prices, inventories -- all lower.
The only index that improved was employment. But, the increase is simply the result of employers drinking the economic recovery cool-aid. The percentage of employers that anticipate laying off workers in the next six months is on the rise.