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Monday, October 17, 2011

Charts I'm Watching: October 17, 2011

UPDATE:  10:00 AM

The Dollar Index (DX) found support at the fan line we were watching.  There's plenty of resistance up ahead, but the channel it's in indicates a potential meteoric rise.  Note that this channel is at the exact same slope as every other from the past 4 years.


I expect a rise to the 87 area, sometime in the Dec 11 - Mar 12 time frame.  This part is tricky, as previous rises have channel surfed.  In the summer of 2008, DX accelerated when it shifted to a parallel channel to the left - not once, but twice.  Eventually, it returned to the original channel to complete the move. 

The Oct 09 - Jun 10 run did a bunny hop to the right, effectively slowing the pace of the rise.   The Oct 10 - Jan 11 rise fizzled after a respectable 10% run.  We'll keep an eye on this one.



ORIGINAL POST:  2:05 AM

Updated chart on AUD/USD.  Start with a pretty cool 20-year trend line...


Toss in some neat fan lines, channel and some Fib retracements...


Makes a pretty compelling case for a reversal.


More later.